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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.5%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,700,615 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.5%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,700,615 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$918,012 Vol.

13%

Bryson Dechambeau

$256,989 Vol.

9%

Jon Rahm

$492,513 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$205,684 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$419,840 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,470,505 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,411,969 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$302,018 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,805,349 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$433,566 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$418,377 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,127,815 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$367,810 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,874,200 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$251,824 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$249,557 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$732,613 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$360,383 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$350,129 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,035,223 Vol.

2%

Jason Day

$3,660,497 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$318,447 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$832,497 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$177,240 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,699,761 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,834,248 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,300,150 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$216,795 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$322,146 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,023 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$307,375 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$256,423 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$340,602 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$168,648 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$407,016 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$327,905 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$157,610 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$376,205 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$170,765 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$147,908 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$460,546 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$217,459 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$510,871 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,238 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$588,584 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,039,384 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$272,191 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$400,789 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$316,802 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$463,645 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$678,818 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$926,895 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$551,432 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$761,189 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$355,836 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$510,779 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$510,643 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$925,140 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13% implied probability stems from his two green jackets, elite ball-striking, and strong Augusta National course history, though recent withdrawals from the Houston Open and Texas Open for family reasons—his wife expecting their second child—highlight a rest advantage amid a slow 2026 start following an offseason hand injury recovery. Bryson DeChambeau's surge to 8.5% reflects back-to-back playoff wins in recent LIV Golf events in Singapore and South Africa, paired with top-six finishes in his last two Masters. Jon Rahm at 7.5% benefits from his 2023 victory and consistent major contention, while Rory McIlroy's 6.5% nods to grand slam pursuit and defending champion status. Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele round out a deep, experienced field, dispersing odds in this notoriously unpredictable major where upsets thrive on Augusta's demanding layout.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,700,615
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13% implied probability stems from his two green jackets, elite ball-striking, and strong Augusta National course history, though recent withdrawals from the Houston Open and Texas Open for family reasons—his wife expecting their second child—highlight a rest advantage amid a slow 2026 start following an offseason hand injury recovery. Bryson DeChambeau's surge to 8.5% reflects back-to-back playoff wins in recent LIV Golf events in Singapore and South Africa, paired with top-six finishes in his last two Masters. Jon Rahm at 7.5% benefits from his 2023 victory and consistent major contention, while Rory McIlroy's 6.5% nods to grand slam pursuit and defending champion status. Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele round out a deep, experienced field, dispersing odds in this notoriously unpredictable major where upsets thrive on Augusta's demanding layout.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,700,615
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $65.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.