Scottie Scheffler's world-class ball-striking and proven Augusta National mastery, including a top-5 strokes gained approach last year, anchor his trader consensus lead at 12.5% implied probability, enhanced by strategic rest after skipping the Houston Open for his second child's birth and the Valero Texas Open. The closely bunched top tier—Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surging with a recent LIV Golf playoff win over Jon Rahm, Rahm (7.6%) topping 2026 adjusted strokes gained at +2.7 per round, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) as defending champion—highlights competitive dynamics from peaking LIV form, PGA Tour tune-up skips for recovery, and a deep field primed for par-5 exploits and Amen Corner tests, with no major injuries disrupting contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 13%
Bryson Dechambeau 9%
Jon Rahm 7.6%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$65,620,162 Vol.
$65,620,162 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Bryson Dechambeau
9%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Jason Day
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Max Homa
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 13%
Bryson Dechambeau 9%
Jon Rahm 7.6%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$65,620,162 Vol.
$65,620,162 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Bryson Dechambeau
9%
Jon Rahm
8%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Jason Day
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Max Homa
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's world-class ball-striking and proven Augusta National mastery, including a top-5 strokes gained approach last year, anchor his trader consensus lead at 12.5% implied probability, enhanced by strategic rest after skipping the Houston Open for his second child's birth and the Valero Texas Open. The closely bunched top tier—Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surging with a recent LIV Golf playoff win over Jon Rahm, Rahm (7.6%) topping 2026 adjusted strokes gained at +2.7 per round, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) as defending champion—highlights competitive dynamics from peaking LIV form, PGA Tour tune-up skips for recovery, and a deep field primed for par-5 exploits and Amen Corner tests, with no major injuries disrupting contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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