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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Bryson Dechambeau 7%

Polymarket

$66,466,840 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Bryson Dechambeau 7%

Polymarket

$66,466,840 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$922,738 Vol.

14%

Jon Rahm

$502,171 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$212,550 Vol.

7%

Bryson Dechambeau

$266,737 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$435,427 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$8,484,086 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,425,720 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,823,850 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$306,159 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$393,070 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$440,029 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,139,363 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$422,254 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$743,995 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$261,158 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$369,789 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$251,742 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,878,888 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,045,213 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$352,828 Vol.

2%

Will Zalatoris

$367,421 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$323,306 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$837,525 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$180,503 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$429,789 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,667,055 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,709,721 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,840,651 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,302,438 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$220,296 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$338,913 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$309,027 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$268,599 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$169,948 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,641 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$374,523 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,195 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$174,174 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,180 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$402,016 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$463,764 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$242,965 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$512,087 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$283,390 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,366 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$357,086 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,057,104 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$438,665 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$692,455 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$606,256 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$978,207 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$386,758 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$478,250 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$796,599 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$932,453 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$547,188 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$573,700 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$515,291 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking prowess and Augusta course history despite withdrawing from the Houston Open for his second child's birth, granting beneficial rest ahead of Thursday's tee times. The race stays tight with Jon Rahm (7.6%) peaking via LIV Golf wins and runner-ups, defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) unburdened post-2025 green jacket and career grand slam, Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) wielding power suited to Augusta firm-and-fast greens, and Ludvig Åberg (5.9%) building on runner-up debut and recent Valero contention. Mild weather with possible Saturday showers adds variability to this wide-open field of major contenders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,466,840
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking prowess and Augusta course history despite withdrawing from the Houston Open for his second child's birth, granting beneficial rest ahead of Thursday's tee times. The race stays tight with Jon Rahm (7.6%) peaking via LIV Golf wins and runner-ups, defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) unburdened post-2025 green jacket and career grand slam, Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) wielding power suited to Augusta firm-and-fast greens, and Ludvig Åberg (5.9%) building on runner-up debut and recent Valero contention. Mild weather with possible Saturday showers adds variability to this wide-open field of major contenders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,466,840
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $66.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.