Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,051,207 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,051,207 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$920,782 Vol.

14%

Jon Rahm

$495,682 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$260,584 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$210,865 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$424,117 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$8,477,787 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,420,498 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,807,633 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$303,784 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$436,029 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$419,477 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,131,834 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$253,713 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$737,431 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,876,728 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$363,795 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$368,771 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$250,450 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,042,201 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$351,032 Vol.

2%

Will Zalatoris

$366,035 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$320,587 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$836,054 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$178,790 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,666,075 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,702,933 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,301,349 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$220,296 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$265,267 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$309,027 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,837,831 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$374,013 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$415,628 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$332,502 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,246 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$168,747 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,183 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$171,948 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,008 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$384,819 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$462,324 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$228,018 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$512,075 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$277,611 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,350 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$597,015 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,047,496 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$323,488 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$474,883 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$680,496 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$949,947 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$563,075 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$773,653 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$368,549 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$511,071 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$422,339 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$515,191 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$927,862 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets in 2022 and 2024, plus no finish outside the top 20—anchors his trader consensus edge at 13.5% implied probability, even amid a second straight year of uneven momentum with come-from-behind threats but no recent PGA Tour triumphs. LIV Golf heat from Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back victories and Jon Rahm's Hong Kong win plus four top-two finishes in five starts have propelled them to 7.5% and 7.6%, tightening the top cluster. Defending 2025 champion Rory McIlroy at 6.5% adds volatility in this deep field favoring par-5 power, course history, and major experience, keeping the race wide open ahead of Thursday's start.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,051,207
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets in 2022 and 2024, plus no finish outside the top 20—anchors his trader consensus edge at 13.5% implied probability, even amid a second straight year of uneven momentum with come-from-behind threats but no recent PGA Tour triumphs. LIV Golf heat from Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back victories and Jon Rahm's Hong Kong win plus four top-two finishes in five starts have propelled them to 7.5% and 7.6%, tightening the top cluster. Defending 2025 champion Rory McIlroy at 6.5% adds volatility in this deep field favoring par-5 power, course history, and major experience, keeping the race wide open ahead of Thursday's start.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,051,207
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $66.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.