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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.7%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Bryson Dechambeau 7%

Polymarket

$66,364,003 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.7%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Bryson Dechambeau 7%

Polymarket

$66,364,003 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$922,436 Vol.

14%

Jon Rahm

$500,807 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$212,548 Vol.

7%

Bryson Dechambeau

$266,417 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$433,940 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$8,481,453 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,425,003 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,811,208 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$305,349 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$438,774 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,138,767 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$422,132 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$369,417 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$259,631 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$742,880 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$369,784 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,878,827 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$251,435 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,043,827 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$351,760 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$322,570 Vol.

2%

Will Zalatoris

$367,070 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$429,789 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$837,107 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$179,991 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,667,055 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,708,788 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,840,079 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,301,900 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$220,296 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$268,162 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$309,027 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$169,788 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$336,113 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$374,523 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,195 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,641 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$173,572 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$397,887 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,180 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$463,764 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$242,026 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$512,075 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$282,825 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,366 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$356,969 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,055,051 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$437,049 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$604,724 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$477,763 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$681,331 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$970,337 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$382,500 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$515,291 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$571,131 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$790,570 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$932,453 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$547,188 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's two Masters triumphs (2022, 2024) and flawless top-20 finishes at Augusta National underpin his trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability, though recent form dips—including swing adjustments and softer stats after an early 2026 American Express win—keep the field bunched tight. Bryson DeChambeau's scorching momentum from back-to-back LIV victories in Singapore and South Africa (edging Jon Rahm in the latter playoff) elevates him to 6.5%, matching Rory McIlroy, the 2025 defending champion who completed the career grand slam in playoff fashion last year. Rahm's LIV Hong Kong breakthrough adds to his 7.7% edge, while Ludvig Aberg's rising trajectory and Xander Schauffele's steadiness fuel a competitive market amid Morikawa's back injury uncertainty and withdrawals like Mickelson's, highlighting Augusta's unpredictable leaderboard shifts in this deep 90-plus player field.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,364,003
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's two Masters triumphs (2022, 2024) and flawless top-20 finishes at Augusta National underpin his trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability, though recent form dips—including swing adjustments and softer stats after an early 2026 American Express win—keep the field bunched tight. Bryson DeChambeau's scorching momentum from back-to-back LIV victories in Singapore and South Africa (edging Jon Rahm in the latter playoff) elevates him to 6.5%, matching Rory McIlroy, the 2025 defending champion who completed the career grand slam in playoff fashion last year. Rahm's LIV Hong Kong breakthrough adds to his 7.7% edge, while Ludvig Aberg's rising trajectory and Xander Schauffele's steadiness fuel a competitive market amid Morikawa's back injury uncertainty and withdrawals like Mickelson's, highlighting Augusta's unpredictable leaderboard shifts in this deep 90-plus player field.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,364,003
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $66.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.