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Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

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Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Manchester City 65%

Chelsea 24%

Leeds United AFC 7.8%

Southampton 3.4%

Polymarket

$426,027 Vol.

Manchester City 65%

Chelsea 24%

Leeds United AFC 7.8%

Southampton 3.4%

Polymarket

$426,027 Vol.

Manchester City

$14,580 Vol.

65%

Chelsea

$34,508 Vol.

24%

Leeds United AFC

$3,420 Vol.

8%

Southampton

$2,879 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability to win the 2025-26 FA Cup after advancing past Liverpool in the quarter-finals and drawing Championship high-flyers Southampton in the semi-finals at Wembley, bolstered by their second-place Premier League standing and consistent deep cup runs despite defending champions Crystal Palace's early exit. Chelsea sits at 25% following a dominant 7-0 quarter-final rout of Port Vale, facing Leeds United—who stunned West Ham via 4-2 penalty shootout after a 2-2 draw—in the other semi, highlighting their cup prowess amid solid form. Leeds (9.2%) and Southampton (2.9%) persist as live underdogs with realistic upset potential, leveraging momentum from surprise progression as Championship promotion contenders against top-flight opposition.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$426,027
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability to win the 2025-26 FA Cup after advancing past Liverpool in the quarter-finals and drawing Championship high-flyers Southampton in the semi-finals at Wembley, bolstered by their second-place Premier League standing and consistent deep cup runs despite defending champions Crystal Palace's early exit. Chelsea sits at 25% following a dominant 7-0 quarter-final rout of Port Vale, facing Leeds United—who stunned West Ham via 4-2 penalty shootout after a 2-2 draw—in the other semi, highlighting their cup prowess amid solid form. Leeds (9.2%) and Southampton (2.9%) persist as live underdogs with realistic upset potential, leveraging momentum from surprise progression as Championship promotion contenders against top-flight opposition.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$426,027
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manchester City" at 65%, followed by "Chelsea" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" has generated $426K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is "Manchester City" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chelsea" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.