Skip to main content
Market icon

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Market icon

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Gavin McKenna 79%

Ivar Stenberg 10.0%

Brooks Rogowski 4.6%

Keaton Verhoeff 2.9%

Polymarket

$813,771 Vol.

Gavin McKenna 79%

Ivar Stenberg 10.0%

Brooks Rogowski 4.6%

Keaton Verhoeff 2.9%

Polymarket

$813,771 Vol.

Gavin McKenna

$11,266 Vol.

79%

Ivar Stenberg

$4,760 Vol.

10%

Brooks Rogowski

$4,427 Vol.

5%

Keaton Verhoeff

$34,021 Vol.

3%

Chase Reid

$3,125 Vol.

1%

Mikey Berchild

$1,382 Vol.

1%

Alberts Smits

$2,717 Vol.

1%

Viggo Björck

$217,532 Vol.

1%

Tynan Lawrence

$316,260 Vol.

<1%

Carson Carels

$4,348 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Shcherbakov

$140,390 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Belchetz

$2,604 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Suvanto

$1,908 Vol.

<1%

Maddox Dagenais

$31,780 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Malhotra

$4,240 Vol.

<1%

Ilya Morozov

$6,179 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Command

$4,575 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Lin

$0 Vol.

<1%

Daxon Rudolph

$1,811 Vol.

<1%

Adam Novotný

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elton Hermansson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Mathis Preston

$2,916 Vol.

<1%

Juho Piiparinen

$0 Vol.

<1%

JP Hurlbert

$0 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Nordmark

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Hemming

$0 Vol.

<1%

Yegor Shilov

$0 Vol.

<1%

William Hakansson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Klepov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Mbuyi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Roobroeck

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Chrenko

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jack Hextall

$2,132 Vol.

<1%

Niklas Aaram-Olsen

$1,683 Vol.

<1%

Wyatt Cullen

$1,957 Vol.

<1%

Alessandro Di Iorio

$1,477 Vol.

<1%

Giorgos Pantelas

$2,079 Vol.

<1%

Jaxon Cover

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Goljer

$1,550 Vol.

<1%

Beckham Edwards

$0 Vol.

<1%

Simas Ignatavicius

$0 Vol.

<1%

Liam Ruck

$1,590 Vol.

<1%

Victor Plante

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Nemec

$3,794 Vol.

<1%

Luke Schairer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Casey Mutryn

$0 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Villeneuve

$1,656 Vol.

<1%

Malte Gustafsson

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

Adam Valentini

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Holmertz

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released this week cemented Gavin McKenna as the top North American skater for the 2026 NHL Draft, with his 51-point NCAA season at Penn State underscoring elite offensive skill, vision, and playmaking that scouts unanimously praise as unmatched among peers. This trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability reflects McKenna's regained dominance after a brief World Juniors dip, pulling ahead in recent lists from TSN, Sportsnet, and Daily Faceoff. Ivar Stenberg's No. 1 international ranking via strong SHL play with Frölunda bolsters his 10% share as the prime challenger, while Brooks Rogowski's physical OHL presence with Oshawa earns minor support amid a deep prospect pool ahead of the June lottery.

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$813,771
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released this week cemented Gavin McKenna as the top North American skater for the 2026 NHL Draft, with his 51-point NCAA season at Penn State underscoring elite offensive skill, vision, and playmaking that scouts unanimously praise as unmatched among peers. This trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability reflects McKenna's regained dominance after a brief World Juniors dip, pulling ahead in recent lists from TSN, Sportsnet, and Daily Faceoff. Ivar Stenberg's No. 1 international ranking via strong SHL play with Frölunda bolsters his 10% share as the prime challenger, while Brooks Rogowski's physical OHL presence with Oshawa earns minor support amid a deep prospect pool ahead of the June lottery.

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$813,771
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin McKenna" at 79%, followed by "Ivar Stenberg" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" has generated $813.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is "Gavin McKenna" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ivar Stenberg" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.