Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) share price closing the week of March 23 between $250 and $255, with another 25.5% for $255-$260, reflecting sustained momentum from January's fiscal Q1 2025 earnings beat—services revenue up 12% year-over-year amid stabilizing iPhone demand and accelerating AI integrations like Apple Intelligence. The stock has rallied 7% over the past 10 trading days to near $249, buoyed by analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs and Piper Sandler citing robust holiday residuals and enterprise adoption, against a backdrop of cooling Treasury yields supporting tech valuations. Absent major catalysts next week post-FOMC, traders anticipate modest grind higher, though macro risks like renewed inflation data could cap upside toward $260.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$250-$255 39%
$255-$260 23%
$245-$250 22%
$240-$245 11.1%
<$225
1%
$225-$230
1%
$230-$235
<1%
$235-$240
3%
$240-$245
11%
$245-$250
22%
$250-$255
39%
$255-$260
23%
$260-$265
11%
$265-$270
3%
>$270
2%
$250-$255 39%
$255-$260 23%
$245-$250 22%
$240-$245 11.1%
<$225
1%
$225-$230
1%
$230-$235
<1%
$235-$240
3%
$240-$245
11%
$245-$250
22%
$250-$255
39%
$255-$260
23%
$260-$265
11%
$265-$270
3%
>$270
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) share price closing the week of March 23 between $250 and $255, with another 25.5% for $255-$260, reflecting sustained momentum from January's fiscal Q1 2025 earnings beat—services revenue up 12% year-over-year amid stabilizing iPhone demand and accelerating AI integrations like Apple Intelligence. The stock has rallied 7% over the past 10 trading days to near $249, buoyed by analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs and Piper Sandler citing robust holiday residuals and enterprise adoption, against a backdrop of cooling Treasury yields supporting tech valuations. Absent major catalysts next week post-FOMC, traders anticipate modest grind higher, though macro risks like renewed inflation data could cap upside toward $260.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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