Tesla (TSLA) shares have rallied over 20% in the past month amid optimism around full self-driving (FSD) software advancements and record energy storage deployments in Q4 2024, with the stock trading around $320 as of early March 2025. Traders are pricing in sustained vehicle delivery growth despite margin pressures from price cuts and intensifying EV competition from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on whether TSLA closes the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $300, driven by weekly options expiration volatility and Elon Musk's X posts influencing sentiment. Upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April loom as a major catalyst, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut expectations supporting growth stocks. Volatility remains elevated, with the VIX at 18, underscoring binary risks around China sales data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$57,962 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
$350
100%
$355
100%
$360
100%
$365
<1%
$370
<1%
$375
<1%
$380
<1%
$385
<1%
$390
<1%
$395
<1%
$400
<1%
$405
<1%
$410
<1%
$57,962 Vol.
$350
$6,372 Vol.
100%
$355
$3,000 Vol.
100%
$360
$8,554 Vol.
100%
$365
$3,321 Vol.
<1%
$370
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
$375
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
$380
$3,440 Vol.
<1%
$385
$2,637 Vol.
<1%
$390
$6,604 Vol.
<1%
$395
$5,142 Vol.
<1%
$400
$8,677 Vol.
<1%
$405
$1,514 Vol.
<1%
$410
$4,310 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla (TSLA) shares have rallied over 20% in the past month amid optimism around full self-driving (FSD) software advancements and record energy storage deployments in Q4 2024, with the stock trading around $320 as of early March 2025. Traders are pricing in sustained vehicle delivery growth despite margin pressures from price cuts and intensifying EV competition from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on whether TSLA closes the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $300, driven by weekly options expiration volatility and Elon Musk's X posts influencing sentiment. Upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April loom as a major catalyst, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut expectations supporting growth stocks. Volatility remains elevated, with the VIX at 18, underscoring binary risks around China sales data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$57,962End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla (TSLA) shares have rallied over 20% in the past month amid optimism around full self-driving (FSD) software advancements and record energy storage deployments in Q4 2024, with the stock trading around $320 as of early March 2025. Traders are pricing in sustained vehicle delivery growth despite margin pressures from price cuts and intensifying EV competition from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on whether TSLA closes the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $300, driven by weekly options expiration volatility and Elon Musk's X posts influencing sentiment. Upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April loom as a major catalyst, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut expectations supporting growth stocks. Volatility remains elevated, with the VIX at 18, underscoring binary risks around China sales data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$57,962End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Tesla (TSLA) shares have rallied over 20% in the past month amid optimism around full self-driving (FSD) software advancements and record energy storage deployments in Q4 2024, with the stock trading around $320 as of early March 2025. Traders are pricing in sustained vehicle delivery growth despite margin pressures from price cuts and intensifying EV competition from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on whether TSLA closes the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $300, driven by weekly options expiration volatility and Elon Musk's X posts influencing sentiment. Upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April loom as a major catalyst, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut expectations supporting growth stocks. Volatility remains elevated, with the VIX at 18, underscoring binary risks around China sales data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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