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FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?

Market icon

FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,272 Vol.

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,272 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If FDX does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for FDX.
Volume
$2,272
End Date
Dec 19, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If FDX does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for FDX.

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If FDX does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for FDX.
Volume
$2,272
End Date
Dec 19, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If FDX does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for FDX.

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 18 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on November 25. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 18 versus noon ET on November 25, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the December 18 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.