Kimi Antonelli's commanding performance in Free Practice 3 at Suzuka propelled Mercedes to a 1-2 finish, with his benchmark lap of 1:29.362 putting him 0.254s ahead of teammate George Russell and over 0.8s clear of Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in third, cementing trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the fastest lap market. This dominance builds on Mercedes' strong weekend form, including Russell edging Antonelli in FP1, amid McLaren setup issues limiting rivals' pace on the demanding Japanese circuit. While official timings stand firm post-session, rare scrutineering challenges or timing discrepancies could theoretically prompt revisions, though such shifts are highly improbable given the clear margin and lack of incidents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrea Kimi Antonelli 100.0%
Pierre Gasly <1%
Fernando Alonso <1%
Alexander Albon <1%
$9,641 Vol.
$9,641 Vol.
Pierre Gasly
No
Fernando Alonso
No
Alexander Albon
No
Gabriel Bortoleto
No
Sergio Perez
No
Charles Leclerc
No
Esteban Ocon
No
Lando Norris
No
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Yes
Max Verstappen
No
Franco Colapinto
No
Carlos Sainz Jr.
No
Nico Hulkenberg
No
Valtteri Bottas
No
Lewis Hamilton
No
Oliver Bearman
No
Oscar Piastri
No
George Russell
No
Arvid Lindblad
No
Isack Hadjar
No
Liam Lawson
No
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 100.0%
Pierre Gasly <1%
Fernando Alonso <1%
Alexander Albon <1%
$9,641 Vol.
$9,641 Vol.
Pierre Gasly
No
Fernando Alonso
No
Alexander Albon
No
Gabriel Bortoleto
No
Sergio Perez
No
Charles Leclerc
No
Esteban Ocon
No
Lando Norris
No
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Yes
Max Verstappen
No
Franco Colapinto
No
Carlos Sainz Jr.
No
Nico Hulkenberg
No
Valtteri Bottas
No
Lewis Hamilton
No
Oliver Bearman
No
Oscar Piastri
No
George Russell
No
Arvid Lindblad
No
Isack Hadjar
No
Liam Lawson
No
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kimi Antonelli's commanding performance in Free Practice 3 at Suzuka propelled Mercedes to a 1-2 finish, with his benchmark lap of 1:29.362 putting him 0.254s ahead of teammate George Russell and over 0.8s clear of Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in third, cementing trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the fastest lap market. This dominance builds on Mercedes' strong weekend form, including Russell edging Antonelli in FP1, amid McLaren setup issues limiting rivals' pace on the demanding Japanese circuit. While official timings stand firm post-session, rare scrutineering challenges or timing discrepancies could theoretically prompt revisions, though such shifts are highly improbable given the clear margin and lack of incidents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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