George Russell leads trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix Practice 3 fastest lap after topping FP1 at Suzuka with a 1:31.666 benchmark, edging Mercedes teammate Kimi Antonelli by just 0.026s in a dominant 1-2 ahead of McLaren's Lando Norris. Antonelli's consistent P2 in both Friday sessions—including a strong 1:30.225 in FP2 on softs, 0.092s off Oscar Piastri's session-best 1:30.133—bolsters his 22% standing as the rookie impresses on the demanding Suzuka layout. Piastri's FP2 pace elevates him to 11.5%, while Alexander Albon's 10.1% reflects Williams' midfield competitiveness despite FP1 traffic contact with Sergio Perez, with clear skies forecast for FP3 heightening focus on qualifying simulations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrea Kimi Antonelli 99%
Arvid Lindblad 2.3%
Liam Lawson 2.3%
Esteban Ocon 1.4%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
92%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
George Russell
1%
Charles Leclerc
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Lando Norris
<1%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lewis Hamilton
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 99%
Arvid Lindblad 2.3%
Liam Lawson 2.3%
Esteban Ocon 1.4%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
92%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
George Russell
1%
Charles Leclerc
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Lando Norris
<1%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lewis Hamilton
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell leads trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix Practice 3 fastest lap after topping FP1 at Suzuka with a 1:31.666 benchmark, edging Mercedes teammate Kimi Antonelli by just 0.026s in a dominant 1-2 ahead of McLaren's Lando Norris. Antonelli's consistent P2 in both Friday sessions—including a strong 1:30.225 in FP2 on softs, 0.092s off Oscar Piastri's session-best 1:30.133—bolsters his 22% standing as the rookie impresses on the demanding Suzuka layout. Piastri's FP2 pace elevates him to 11.5%, while Alexander Albon's 10.1% reflects Williams' midfield competitiveness despite FP1 traffic contact with Sergio Perez, with clear skies forecast for FP3 heightening focus on qualifying simulations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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