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Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's

Market icon

Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's

Megan Oldhamm (CAN) 100.0%

Eileen Gu (CHN) <1%

Flora Tabanelli (ITA) <1%

Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) <1%

Polymarket

$120,158 Vol.

Megan Oldhamm (CAN) 100.0%

Eileen Gu (CHN) <1%

Flora Tabanelli (ITA) <1%

Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) <1%

Polymarket

$120,158 Vol.

Eileen Gu (CHN)

$25,506 Vol.

No

Flora Tabanelli (ITA)

$13,601 Vol.

No

Mathilde Gremaud (SUI)

$22,690 Vol.

No

Giulia Tanno (SUI)

$1,530 Vol.

No

Megan Oldhamm (CAN)

$10,039 Vol.

Yes

Grace Henderson (USA)

$1,218 Vol.

No

Marin Hamill (USA)

$1,101 Vol.

No

Liu Mengting (CHN)

$7,843 Vol.

No

Muriel Mohr (GER)

$1,101 Vol.

No

Anni Karava (FIN)

$4,988 Vol.

No

Ruby Star Andrews (NZL)

$1,625 Vol.

No

Han Linshan (CHN)

$884 Vol.

No

Anouk Andraska (SUI)

$451 Vol.

No

Kelly Sildaru (EST)

$1,851 Vol.

No

Kirsty Muir (GBR)

$2,764 Vol.

No

Sarah Hofflin (SUI)

$1,247 Vol.

No

Naomi Urness (CAN)

$5,837 Vol.

No

Elena Gaskell (CAN)

$992 Vol.

No

Rell Harwood (USA)

$1,290 Vol.

No

Avery Krumme (USA)

$786 Vol.

No

Lara Wolf (AUT)

$6,287 Vol.

No

Sandra Eie (NOR)

$2,331 Vol.

No

Skye Clarke (CAN)

$1,092 Vol.

No

Maria Gasslitter (ITA)

$1,380 Vol.

No

Kateryna Kotsar (UKR)

$1,725 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Ski Big Air - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.

If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Volume
$120,158
End Date
Feb 23, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 7, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Ski Big Air - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megan Oldhamm (CAN)" at 100%, followed by "Eileen Gu (CHN)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's" has generated $120.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's" is "Megan Oldhamm (CAN)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eileen Gu (CHN)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winter Games 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.