UConn's dominant 59% trader consensus for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament reflects Geno Auriemma's elite recruiting edge, with the top-ranked 2025 class featuring five-star forwards like Sarah Strong and Jenna Stack, bolstering depth after Paige Bueckers' departure. UCLA's 12% share builds on Cori Close's Final Four pedigree and Big Ten transition momentum, while South Carolina (9.7%) leverages Dawn Staley's reloaded post-championship core amid SEC parity. Mid-major outliers like Howard (8.8%) and Miami (OH) (5.2%) draw value bets from recent transfer portal hauls and Cinderella upset histories, but long-term factors—injuries, upsets, and two full seasons—underscore inherent volatility in March Madness odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUConn 58%
UCLA 12%
South Carolina 9.7%
Texas 8.2%
$91,042 Vol.
$91,042 Vol.
UConn
58%
UCLA
12%
South Carolina
10%
Texas
8%
Rhode Island
7%
Southern
7%
USC
6%
Princeton
5%
LSU
4%
Ole Miss
4%
High Point
3%
Baylor
3%
Vanderbilt
2%
Notre Dame
2%
Oklahoma State
2%
UTSA
2%
Georgia
2%
Washington
2%
Virginia
2%
NC State
1%
Iowa
1%
Michigan State
1%
North Carolina
1%
Oregon
1%
Minnesota
1%
West Virginia
1%
Ohio State
1%
Michigan
1%
Oklahoma
1%
Kentucky
<1%
Duke
<1%
Maryland
7%
Louisville
6%
TCU
6%
Colorado
<1%
Fairfield
<1%
Howard
<1%
Illinois
<1%
Iowa State
<1%
James Madison
<1%
Syracuse
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Alabama
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Fairleigh Dickinson
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Vermont
<1%
UConn 58%
UCLA 12%
South Carolina 9.7%
Texas 8.2%
$91,042 Vol.
$91,042 Vol.
UConn
58%
UCLA
12%
South Carolina
10%
Texas
8%
Rhode Island
7%
Southern
7%
USC
6%
Princeton
5%
LSU
4%
Ole Miss
4%
High Point
3%
Baylor
3%
Vanderbilt
2%
Notre Dame
2%
Oklahoma State
2%
UTSA
2%
Georgia
2%
Washington
2%
Virginia
2%
NC State
1%
Iowa
1%
Michigan State
1%
North Carolina
1%
Oregon
1%
Minnesota
1%
West Virginia
1%
Ohio State
1%
Michigan
1%
Oklahoma
1%
Kentucky
<1%
Duke
<1%
Maryland
7%
Louisville
6%
TCU
6%
Colorado
<1%
Fairfield
<1%
Howard
<1%
Illinois
<1%
Iowa State
<1%
James Madison
<1%
Syracuse
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Alabama
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Fairleigh Dickinson
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Vermont
<1%
If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Market Opened: Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UConn's dominant 59% trader consensus for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament reflects Geno Auriemma's elite recruiting edge, with the top-ranked 2025 class featuring five-star forwards like Sarah Strong and Jenna Stack, bolstering depth after Paige Bueckers' departure. UCLA's 12% share builds on Cori Close's Final Four pedigree and Big Ten transition momentum, while South Carolina (9.7%) leverages Dawn Staley's reloaded post-championship core amid SEC parity. Mid-major outliers like Howard (8.8%) and Miami (OH) (5.2%) draw value bets from recent transfer portal hauls and Cinderella upset histories, but long-term factors—injuries, upsets, and two full seasons—underscore inherent volatility in March Madness odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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