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일본 총선 승자는?

자민당 99.7%

CRA <1%

국민민주당 <1%

산세이토 <1%

Polymarket

$1,191,006 Vol.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election.

If the results are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives of the Japanese National Diet.

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market (including through merger), the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition (including through merger), with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
볼륨
$1,191,006
종료일
Feb 8, 2026
생성일
Jan 20, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election. If the results are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives of the Japanese National Diet. This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market (including through merger), the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition (including through merger), with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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Market icon

일본 총선 승자는?

자민당 99.7%

CRA <1%

국민민주당 <1%

산세이토 <1%

Polymarket

$1,191,006 Vol.

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자민당

$679,848 Vol.

100%

Market icon

CRA

$252,030 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

국민민주당

$36,265 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

산세이토

$24,051 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

일본공산당

$17,621 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

사회민주당

$109,321 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

미라이

$18,373 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

일본 혁신당

$22,525 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

레이와

$14,795 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

CPJ

$16,177 Vol.

<1%

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