Market icon

일본 선거: LDP 승리의 마진?

자민당 190-219 30%

자민당 220-249 25%

자민당 160-189 21%

자민당 250+ 18%

Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled by the first and second place parties in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election (e.g. if LDP controls 290 and CRA controls 70 as a result of the election, the difference would be 220).

The first and second place parties will be the parties that respectively control the first and second most seats as a result of the specified election.

If any non-listed party wins the most seats as a result of this election, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”

If the first and second place parties control the same number of seats, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the relevant parties, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
볼륨
$6,174
종료일
Feb 8, 2026
생성일
Feb 5, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled by the first and second place parties in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election (e.g. if LDP controls 290 and CRA controls 70 as a result of the election, the difference would be 220). The first and second place parties will be the parties that respectively control the first and second most seats as a result of the specified election. If any non-listed party wins the most seats as a result of this election, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins” If the first and second place parties control the same number of seats, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the relevant parties, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Market icon

일본 선거: LDP 승리의 마진?

자민당 190-219 30%

자민당 220-249 25%

자민당 160-189 21%

자민당 250+ 18%

Polymarket
NEW

자민당 <130

$3,253 Vol.

1%

자민당 130-159

$256 Vol.

8%

자민당 160-189

$162 Vol.

21%

자민당 190-219

$1,406 Vol.

30%

자민당 220-249

$164 Vol.

25%

자민당 250+

$634 Vol.

18%

다른 정당 승리

$300 Vol.

<1%

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.