As of late March 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands near 6.4%, up from 6.0% earlier this month, tracking a climb in 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44% amid steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent economic resilience and muted rate-cut expectations, with mortgage spreads widening slightly due to housing supply constraints. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if inflation trends lower, though upside risks persist from labor data. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate policy outlooks and shift market-implied paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$43,345 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00％
41%
↑ 6.75%
49%
↑ 6.50％
84%
↓ 5.90%
47%
↓ 5.70％
46%
↓ 5.50%
50%
$43,345 Vol.
↑ 7.00％
$13 Vol.
41%
↑ 6.75%
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 6.50％
$6,451 Vol.
84%
↓ 5.90%
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ 5.70％
$6,769 Vol.
46%
↓ 5.50%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of late March 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands near 6.4%, up from 6.0% earlier this month, tracking a climb in 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44% amid steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent economic resilience and muted rate-cut expectations, with mortgage spreads widening slightly due to housing supply constraints. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if inflation trends lower, though upside risks persist from labor data. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate policy outlooks and shift market-implied paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$43,345終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of late March 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands near 6.4%, up from 6.0% earlier this month, tracking a climb in 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44% amid steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent economic resilience and muted rate-cut expectations, with mortgage spreads widening slightly due to housing supply constraints. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if inflation trends lower, though upside risks persist from labor data. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate policy outlooks and shift market-implied paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$43,345終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of late March 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands near 6.4%, up from 6.0% earlier this month, tracking a climb in 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44% amid steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent economic resilience and muted rate-cut expectations, with mortgage spreads widening slightly due to housing supply constraints. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if inflation trends lower, though upside risks persist from labor data. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate policy outlooks and shift market-implied paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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