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政治·ガザ

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?

Market icon
政治·ガザ

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?

$5,239,344 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$5,239,344 Vol.

Polymarket

October 10

$211,459 Vol.

No

October 12

$1,315,731 Vol.

No

October 13

$1,081,017 Vol.

Yes

October 15

$724,690 Vol.

Yes

October 31

$1,906,446 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「October 13」で100%、次いで「October 15」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?」は$5.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Sep 28, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「October 13」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「October 15」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。