The stalled implementation of the US-brokered 2025 Gaza ceasefire plan continues to shape trader views on foreign intervention prospects through year-end. Phase-two elements—including Hamas disarmament, Israeli withdrawal to the Yellow Line, and deployment of an International Stabilization Force (ISF) under the Trump-chaired Board of Peace—remain unresolved amid disputes over sequencing. Recent escalations around the October 2026 anniversary, including Hamas attacks killing Israeli soldiers and subsequent Israeli airstrikes, have tested the fragile truce while Israel maintains control over roughly two-thirds of the territory. Pledges for the ISF exist from Morocco, Kazakhstan, Albania, Kosovo, and others, yet no foreign troops have deployed. An upcoming UN Security Council vote on a US-drafted resolution authorizing the force represents a key near-term catalyst that could shift timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日View resolved

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問