Market icon

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

Market icon

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$101,635 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$101,635 Vol.

On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.

On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify.

Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.


音量
$101,635
終了日
2025/07/09
マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2025, 10:01 PM ET
On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.

On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify.

Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.


音量
$101,635
終了日
2025/07/09
マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2025, 10:01 PM ET
On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? 」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? 」は$101.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? 」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? 」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。