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政治·ビッグテック

ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？

Market icon
政治·ビッグテック

ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？

パラマウント 73%

2027年6月30日までに該当なし 25%

Netflix <1%

コムキャスト <1%

Polymarket

$968,368 Vol.

パラマウント 73%

2027年6月30日までに該当なし 25%

Netflix <1%

コムキャスト <1%

Polymarket

$968,368 Vol.

パラマウント

$431,692 Vol.

73%

2027年6月30日までに該当なし

$152,072 Vol.

25%

Netflix

$213,171 Vol.

1%

コムキャスト

$171,446 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously recommended Paramount's revised $31-per-share all-cash offer as superior over Netflix's bid, leading to a definitive merger agreement signed on February 27, 2026, after a competitive bidding war. Traders' 72.5% implied probability on Paramount reflects momentum from the March 26 announcement scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, with an expected Q3 2026 close well ahead of the June 30, 2027 resolution deadline. The 24.5% "None" pricing accounts for antitrust scrutiny from DOJ and FCC on media consolidation, heavy debt loads exceeding $100 billion, potential shareholder opposition, and integration risks like job cuts. Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible absent renewed bids.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
音量
$968,368
終了日
2027/06/30
マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously recommended Paramount's revised $31-per-share all-cash offer as superior over Netflix's bid, leading to a definitive merger agreement signed on February 27, 2026, after a competitive bidding war. Traders' 72.5% implied probability on Paramount reflects momentum from the March 26 announcement scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, with an expected Q3 2026 close well ahead of the June 30, 2027 resolution deadline. The 24.5% "None" pricing accounts for antitrust scrutiny from DOJ and FCC on media consolidation, heavy debt loads exceeding $100 billion, potential shareholder opposition, and integration risks like job cuts. Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible absent renewed bids.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
音量
$968,368
終了日
2027/06/30
マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

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よくある質問

「ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「パラマウント」で73%、次いで「2027年6月30日までに該当なし」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？」は$968.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 8, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「パラマウント」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年6月30日までに該当なし」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。