OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
2026/03/31
いいえ
OpenAI
はい
Z.ai
いいえ
DeepSeek
いいえ
Mistral
いいえ
Anthropic
いいえ
アリババ
いいえ
xAI
いいえ
ムーンショット
いいえ
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
2026/03/31
$124,134 Vol.
いいえ
OpenAI
$193,398 Vol.
はい
Z.ai
$125,315 Vol.
いいえ
DeepSeek
$217,171 Vol.
いいえ
Mistral
$161,221 Vol.
いいえ
Anthropic
$210,114 Vol.
いいえ
アリババ
$79,517 Vol.
いいえ
xAI
$149,261 Vol.
いいえ
ムーンショット
$90,912 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$1,351,043終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$1,351,043終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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