OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's position leads trader consensus with the highest implied probability of departure before year-end, propelled by April 2026 executive exits, a pointed New Yorker profile revisiting his 2023 ouster and alleging internal rifts like tensions with CFO Sarah Friar, alongside talent drain amid AI competitive pressures from Anthropic. Apple's Tim Cook trails closely, with Bloomberg's March reporting positioning hardware SVP John Ternus as frontrunner successor despite Cook's denial of imminent retirement; persistent board succession planning underscores aging leadership risks in hardware-software integration. Lower odds for Amazon's Andy Jassy, Google's Sundar Pichai, Coinbase's Brian Armstrong, and Twitch's Dan Clancy reflect relative stability post-layoffs and scandals. Earnings seasons and AI benchmarks ahead may swing sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$593,704 Vol.

ティム・クック - Apple
26%

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
24%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
13%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
11%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
11%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
5%
$593,704 Vol.

ティム・クック - Apple
26%

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
24%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
13%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
11%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
11%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
5%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's position leads trader consensus with the highest implied probability of departure before year-end, propelled by April 2026 executive exits, a pointed New Yorker profile revisiting his 2023 ouster and alleging internal rifts like tensions with CFO Sarah Friar, alongside talent drain amid AI competitive pressures from Anthropic. Apple's Tim Cook trails closely, with Bloomberg's March reporting positioning hardware SVP John Ternus as frontrunner successor despite Cook's denial of imminent retirement; persistent board succession planning underscores aging leadership risks in hardware-software integration. Lower odds for Amazon's Andy Jassy, Google's Sundar Pichai, Coinbase's Brian Armstrong, and Twitch's Dan Clancy reflect relative stability post-layoffs and scandals. Earnings seasons and AI benchmarks ahead may swing sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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