Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,568,726 Vol.
$1,568,726 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
9%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
52%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
26%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
7%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
3%
$1,568,726 Vol.
$1,568,726 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
$18,029 Vol.
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$13,585 Vol.
9%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
$24,767 Vol.
52%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
$20,979 Vol.
26%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
$778,572 Vol.
7%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$436,271 Vol.
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
$34,733 Vol.
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
$241,790 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,568,726マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,568,726マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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