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政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選

エイミー・クロブシャー 93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.7%

ティム・ウォルツ 1.7%

スティーブ・サイモン 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

エイミー・クロブシャー 93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.7%

ティム・ウォルツ 1.7%

スティーブ・サイモン 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

エイミー・クロブシャー

$0 Vol.

93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア

$0 Vol.

2%

ティム・ウォルツ

$0 Vol.

2%

スティーブ・サイモン

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Amy Klobuchar commands 93% trader consensus as the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary winner for 2026, driven by her incumbency as U.S. Senator, broad name recognition, and proven statewide appeal in an open race following Governor Tim Walz's term limits barring a third consecutive term. No formal candidate announcements have occurred, and no notable developments—such as polls, endorsements, or campaign launches—have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving lower-profile alternatives like Secretary of State Steve Simon, Tim Walz, and Bill Gates Jr. as longshots. Potential challengers could emerge from a major rival entry, Klobuchar prioritizing her 2028 Senate re-election, scandals, or shifts in early polling ahead of the August primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$0
終了日
Aug 11, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Amy Klobuchar commands 93% trader consensus as the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary winner for 2026, driven by her incumbency as U.S. Senator, broad name recognition, and proven statewide appeal in an open race following Governor Tim Walz's term limits barring a third consecutive term. No formal candidate announcements have occurred, and no notable developments—such as polls, endorsements, or campaign launches—have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving lower-profile alternatives like Secretary of State Steve Simon, Tim Walz, and Bill Gates Jr. as longshots. Potential challengers could emerge from a major rival entry, Klobuchar prioritizing her 2028 Senate re-election, scandals, or shifts in early polling ahead of the August primary.

Amy Klobuchar commands 93% trader consensus as the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary winner for 2026, driven by her incumbency as U.S. Senator, broad name recognition, and proven statewide appeal in an open race following Governor Tim Walz's term limits barring a third consecutive term. No formal candidate announcements have occurred, and no notable developments—such as polls, endorsements, or campaign launches—have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving lower-profile alternatives like Secretary of State Steve Simon, Tim Walz, and Bill Gates Jr. as longshots. Potential challengers could emerge from a major rival entry, Klobuchar prioritizing her 2028 Senate re-election, scandals, or shifts in early polling ahead of the August primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エイミー・クロブシャー」で93%、次いで「ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 5, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「エイミー・クロブシャー」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。