Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's latest nowcast of 0.76% as of March 27, signaling upside risks from surging gasoline prices and sticky shelter costs. February CPI rose 0.5% MoM, matching expectations but underscoring persistent inflation pressures, while the FOMC's March 18 projections raised 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.4%, citing limited disinflation progress. University of Michigan's preliminary March survey showed one-year inflation expectations jumping to 3.8% from 3.4%, alongside declining consumer sentiment. Traders eye the April 10 CPI release for confirmation amid elevated energy trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日0.8％以上 85%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 2.0%
0.4% 1.4%
$493,494 Vol.
$493,494 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
1%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%
2%
0.7%
12%
0.8％以上
85%
0.8％以上 85%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 2.0%
0.4% 1.4%
$493,494 Vol.
$493,494 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
$197,537 Vol.
1%
0.4%
$84,112 Vol.
1%
0.5%
$57,920 Vol.
1%
0.6%
$41,896 Vol.
2%
0.7%
$39,498 Vol.
12%
0.8％以上
$72,531 Vol.
85%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's latest nowcast of 0.76% as of March 27, signaling upside risks from surging gasoline prices and sticky shelter costs. February CPI rose 0.5% MoM, matching expectations but underscoring persistent inflation pressures, while the FOMC's March 18 projections raised 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.4%, citing limited disinflation progress. University of Michigan's preliminary March survey showed one-year inflation expectations jumping to 3.8% from 3.4%, alongside declining consumer sentiment. Traders eye the April 10 CPI release for confirmation amid elevated energy trends.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
音量
$493,494終了日
Apr 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's latest nowcast of 0.76% as of March 27, signaling upside risks from surging gasoline prices and sticky shelter costs. February CPI rose 0.5% MoM, matching expectations but underscoring persistent inflation pressures, while the FOMC's March 18 projections raised 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.4%, citing limited disinflation progress. University of Michigan's preliminary March survey showed one-year inflation expectations jumping to 3.8% from 3.4%, alongside declining consumer sentiment. Traders eye the April 10 CPI release for confirmation amid elevated energy trends.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$493,494終了日
Apr 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's latest nowcast of 0.76% as of March 27, signaling upside risks from surging gasoline prices and sticky shelter costs. February CPI rose 0.5% MoM, matching expectations but underscoring persistent inflation pressures, while the FOMC's March 18 projections raised 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.4%, citing limited disinflation progress. University of Michigan's preliminary March survey showed one-year inflation expectations jumping to 3.8% from 3.4%, alongside declining consumer sentiment. Traders eye the April 10 CPI release for confirmation amid elevated energy trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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