U.S. Vice President JD Vance recently communicated with Pakistani intermediaries about the Iran conflict as of April 1, signaling active back-channel diplomacy amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following military escalations. Iran has explicitly preferred Vance for direct negotiations over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, citing a perceived trust gap with others, as intermediaries conveyed in late March. President Trump has spotlighted Vance's role in potential ceasefire talks, but no verifiable in-person or direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials has occurred. With the April 30 deadline looming, traders monitor for scheduled summits or envoy progress, while Israeli pushback and Iran's red lines on nuclear issues add uncertainty to resolution prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$281,332 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月10日
3%
4月30日
10%
$281,332 Vol.
4月10日
$107,296 Vol.
3%
4月30日
$14,986 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance recently communicated with Pakistani intermediaries about the Iran conflict as of April 1, signaling active back-channel diplomacy amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following military escalations. Iran has explicitly preferred Vance for direct negotiations over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, citing a perceived trust gap with others, as intermediaries conveyed in late March. President Trump has spotlighted Vance's role in potential ceasefire talks, but no verifiable in-person or direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials has occurred. With the April 30 deadline looming, traders monitor for scheduled summits or envoy progress, while Israeli pushback and Iran's red lines on nuclear issues add uncertainty to resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
音量
$281,332終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance recently communicated with Pakistani intermediaries about the Iran conflict as of April 1, signaling active back-channel diplomacy amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following military escalations. Iran has explicitly preferred Vance for direct negotiations over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, citing a perceived trust gap with others, as intermediaries conveyed in late March. President Trump has spotlighted Vance's role in potential ceasefire talks, but no verifiable in-person or direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials has occurred. With the April 30 deadline looming, traders monitor for scheduled summits or envoy progress, while Israeli pushback and Iran's red lines on nuclear issues add uncertainty to resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$281,332終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. Vice President JD Vance recently communicated with Pakistani intermediaries about the Iran conflict as of April 1, signaling active back-channel diplomacy amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following military escalations. Iran has explicitly preferred Vance for direct negotiations over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, citing a perceived trust gap with others, as intermediaries conveyed in late March. President Trump has spotlighted Vance's role in potential ceasefire talks, but no verifiable in-person or direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials has occurred. With the April 30 deadline looming, traders monitor for scheduled summits or envoy progress, while Israeli pushback and Iran's red lines on nuclear issues add uncertainty to resolution prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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