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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?

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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

11°C 38%

12°C 29%

10°C 24%

9°C 6.9%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C 38%

12°C 29%

10°C 24%

9°C 6.9%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$664 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$476 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$697 Vol.

7%

10°C

$976 Vol.

24%

11°C

$935 Vol.

38%

12°C

$893 Vol.

29%

13°C

$1,037 Vol.

5%

14°C

$2,564 Vol.

1%

15°C

$532 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$401 Vol.

<1%

17°C or higher

$447 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 30 at around 11-12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, fueling trader sentiment with 11°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27.5%) and 10°C (24.0%). This follows an unusually warm spell—March 28 peaked near 16°C and March 29 exceeded 17°C, per prior market resolutions—now moderated by a shifting upper-level pattern introducing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar insolation from increasing cloud cover. Tight clustering reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary layer effects, with 1°C differences hinging on afternoon insolation versus cloud development; IMGW hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution. March 2026 trends 3-4°C above historical norms, amplifying uncertainty in this transitional regime.

Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 30 at around 11-12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, fueling trader sentiment with 11°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27.5%) and 10°C (24.0%). This follows an unusually warm spell—March 28 peaked near 16°C and March 29 exceeded 17°C, per prior market resolutions—now moderated by a shifting upper-level pattern introducing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar insolation from increasing cloud cover. Tight clustering reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary layer effects, with 1°C differences hinging on afternoon insolation versus cloud development; IMGW hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution. March 2026 trends 3-4°C above historical norms, amplifying uncertainty in this transitional regime.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 30 at around 11-12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, fueling trader sentiment with 11°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27.5%) and 10°C (24.0%). This follows an unusually warm spell—March 28 peaked near 16°C and March 29 exceeded 17°C, per prior market resolutions—now moderated by a shifting upper-level pattern introducing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar insolation from increasing cloud cover. Tight clustering reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary layer effects, with 1°C differences hinging on afternoon insolation versus cloud development; IMGW hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution. March 2026 trends 3-4°C above historical norms, amplifying uncertainty in this transitional regime.

Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 30 at around 11-12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, fueling trader sentiment with 11°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27.5%) and 10°C (24.0%). This follows an unusually warm spell—March 28 peaked near 16°C and March 29 exceeded 17°C, per prior market resolutions—now moderated by a shifting upper-level pattern introducing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar insolation from increasing cloud cover. Tight clustering reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary layer effects, with 1°C differences hinging on afternoon insolation versus cloud development; IMGW hourly observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution. March 2026 trends 3-4°C above historical norms, amplifying uncertainty in this transitional regime.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11°C」で38%、次いで「12°C」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「11°C」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「12°C」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。