Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) real-time observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 17.4°C by 17:00 on April 4, 2026, under clear skies with light winds, already securing the 17°C or higher outcome as the market-implied consensus at 100%. Short-range KMA forecasts and Yonhap reports project daytime highs of 18–20°C amid mild spring conditions typical for early April, when average highs hover around 16–18°C, driven by increasing solar insolation and stable high-pressure systems. Trader sentiment reflects this observational certainty, with inherent weather uncertainty now minimal barring an improbable late-day cold surge or station-specific measurement anomaly before official daily maximum reporting. Final KMA data release expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$402,821 Vol.
$402,821 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$402,821 Vol.
$402,821 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) real-time observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 17.4°C by 17:00 on April 4, 2026, under clear skies with light winds, already securing the 17°C or higher outcome as the market-implied consensus at 100%. Short-range KMA forecasts and Yonhap reports project daytime highs of 18–20°C amid mild spring conditions typical for early April, when average highs hover around 16–18°C, driven by increasing solar insolation and stable high-pressure systems. Trader sentiment reflects this observational certainty, with inherent weather uncertainty now minimal barring an improbable late-day cold surge or station-specific measurement anomaly before official daily maximum reporting. Final KMA data release expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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