Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 43.5% implied probability edging out 29°C at 35.5%, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks near 30°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Early morning observations show temperatures around 19°C with moderate humidity (82%), setting up efficient boundary-layer heating, following a transition from rainy early March conditions to dry, above-climatological norms late in the month—where historical averages hover at 27-28°C. The close odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon factors like sea-breeze onset and isolated cumulus clouds, which could cap at 29°C or allow urban heat island effects to nudge 31°C; real-time INMET hourly data from stations like Congonhas Airport will clarify as the day unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
30°C 45%
29°C 36%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
$52,974 Vol.
$52,974 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
36%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 36%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
$52,974 Vol.
$52,974 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
36%
30°C
45%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 43.5% implied probability edging out 29°C at 35.5%, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks near 30°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Early morning observations show temperatures around 19°C with moderate humidity (82%), setting up efficient boundary-layer heating, following a transition from rainy early March conditions to dry, above-climatological norms late in the month—where historical averages hover at 27-28°C. The close odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon factors like sea-breeze onset and isolated cumulus clouds, which could cap at 29°C or allow urban heat island effects to nudge 31°C; real-time INMET hourly data from stations like Congonhas Airport will clarify as the day unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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