Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,050 Vol.
$118,050 Vol.
2026/04/01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,050 Vol.
$118,050 Vol.
2026/04/01
20°C or below
$4,459 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,256 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,577 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,830 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,029 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,698 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,067 Vol.
No
27°C
$19,637 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$14,869 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,421 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$9,208 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
音量
$118,050終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$118,050終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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