Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–24°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles forecasting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and ample sunshine. This marks a sharp warmup from cooler weekends (14–18°C projected April 5–6), with current observations already 2–5°C above April norms of ~15°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover inhibiting solar insolation and urban heat island amplification; 22°C edges ahead on median model outputs. New runs tonight and tomorrow from NOAA/GFS and ECMWF will refine probabilities as short-range certainty builds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
18°C or below
$1,148 Vol.
3%
19°C
$26 Vol.
4%
20°C
$138 Vol.
10%
21°C
$89 Vol.
20%
22°C
$187 Vol.
24%
23°C
$132 Vol.
25%
24°C
$111 Vol.
15%
25°C
$25 Vol.
4%
26°C
$11 Vol.
3%
27°C
$25 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$219 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–24°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles forecasting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and ample sunshine. This marks a sharp warmup from cooler weekends (14–18°C projected April 5–6), with current observations already 2–5°C above April norms of ~15°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover inhibiting solar insolation and urban heat island amplification; 22°C edges ahead on median model outputs. New runs tonight and tomorrow from NOAA/GFS and ECMWF will refine probabilities as short-range certainty builds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$2,110終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–24°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles forecasting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and ample sunshine. This marks a sharp warmup from cooler weekends (14–18°C projected April 5–6), with current observations already 2–5°C above April norms of ~15°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover inhibiting solar insolation and urban heat island amplification; 22°C edges ahead on median model outputs. New runs tonight and tomorrow from NOAA/GFS and ECMWF will refine probabilities as short-range certainty builds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,110終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–24°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest Météo-France ARPEGE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles forecasting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and ample sunshine. This marks a sharp warmup from cooler weekends (14–18°C projected April 5–6), with current observations already 2–5°C above April norms of ~15°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover inhibiting solar insolation and urban heat island amplification; 22°C edges ahead on median model outputs. New runs tonight and tomorrow from NOAA/GFS and ECMWF will refine probabilities as short-range certainty builds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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