Météo-France's morning forecast update projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 17–19°C, propelled by a significant warming trend from southerly airflow and afternoon partial clearing after a cloudy start with scattered light showers, cementing trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from ARPEGE and ECMWF ensembles, showing above-normal conditions relative to April's typical 15°C high amid shifting upper-level patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged low cloud decks or heavier precipitation suppressing peaks to 16°C, though current soundings and satellite imagery favor the mild outcome; hourly observations at Charles de Gaulle Airport will track progress toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 93%
16°C 8.1%
15°C 2.9%
14°C <1%
$74,217 Vol.
$74,217 Vol.
2026/04/04
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
93%
17°C or higher 93%
16°C 8.1%
15°C 2.9%
14°C <1%
$74,217 Vol.
$74,217 Vol.
2026/04/04
12°C
$3,916 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,059 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,477 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12,673 Vol.
3%
16°C
$17,906 Vol.
8%
17°C or higher
$13,275 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's morning forecast update projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 17–19°C, propelled by a significant warming trend from southerly airflow and afternoon partial clearing after a cloudy start with scattered light showers, cementing trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from ARPEGE and ECMWF ensembles, showing above-normal conditions relative to April's typical 15°C high amid shifting upper-level patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged low cloud decks or heavier precipitation suppressing peaks to 16°C, though current soundings and satellite imagery favor the mild outcome; hourly observations at Charles de Gaulle Airport will track progress toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
音量
$74,217終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's morning forecast update projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 17–19°C, propelled by a significant warming trend from southerly airflow and afternoon partial clearing after a cloudy start with scattered light showers, cementing trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from ARPEGE and ECMWF ensembles, showing above-normal conditions relative to April's typical 15°C high amid shifting upper-level patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged low cloud decks or heavier precipitation suppressing peaks to 16°C, though current soundings and satellite imagery favor the mild outcome; hourly observations at Charles de Gaulle Airport will track progress toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$74,217終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETMétéo-France's morning forecast update projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 17–19°C, propelled by a significant warming trend from southerly airflow and afternoon partial clearing after a cloudy start with scattered light showers, cementing trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from ARPEGE and ECMWF ensembles, showing above-normal conditions relative to April's typical 15°C high amid shifting upper-level patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged low cloud decks or heavier precipitation suppressing peaks to 16°C, though current soundings and satellite imagery favor the mild outcome; hourly observations at Charles de Gaulle Airport will track progress toward evening resolution.
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