Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles place Munich Airport's highest temperature today in a tight 8–9°C range, driving the near-even market split with 47% implied probability for 8°C and 43% for 9°C. Morning observations show clear skies (CAVOK) and temperatures near 2°C, but increasing cloudiness and light showers in model projections could limit solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, favoring the cooler outcome. GFS runs lean slightly warmer toward 9°C via better mixing, while ICON emphasizes thicker overcast for 8°C. Historical late-March highs average 9–10°C, yet a cool continental air mass dominates; watch afternoon METAR updates and DWD hourly data for resolution as peak heating nears 2–4 p.m. local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
3月28日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
8℃ 46%
9℃ 44%
10℃ 10%
11℃ <1%
$60,344 Vol.
$60,344 Vol.
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
46%
9℃
44%
10℃
10%
11℃
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃以上
<1%
8℃ 46%
9℃ 44%
10℃ 10%
11℃ <1%
$60,344 Vol.
$60,344 Vol.
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
46%
9℃
44%
10℃
10%
11℃
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles place Munich Airport's highest temperature today in a tight 8–9°C range, driving the near-even market split with 47% implied probability for 8°C and 43% for 9°C. Morning observations show clear skies (CAVOK) and temperatures near 2°C, but increasing cloudiness and light showers in model projections could limit solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, favoring the cooler outcome. GFS runs lean slightly warmer toward 9°C via better mixing, while ICON emphasizes thicker overcast for 8°C. Historical late-March highs average 9–10°C, yet a cool continental air mass dominates; watch afternoon METAR updates and DWD hourly data for resolution as peak heating nears 2–4 p.m. local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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