The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecast models show a strong consensus for Lucknow's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on March 26, driven by persistent clear skies, subsiding winter winds, and early summer heating typical for late March in Uttar Pradesh. Current observations indicate daytime highs already climbing toward 35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical averages of 32–36°C for this period while exceeding them slightly due to a warming trend. Trader consensus reflects this data-backed outlook, with 93.5% implied probability on 36°C. Realistic challenges include an unexpected western disturbance bringing clouds or gusty winds, or model revisions from evening updates, though ensemble forecasts show little divergence. IMD's next advisory, due later today, could refine this further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
36°C 97.4%
37°C 4.7%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$121,003 Vol.
$121,003 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 97.4%
37°C 4.7%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$121,003 Vol.
$121,003 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecast models show a strong consensus for Lucknow's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on March 26, driven by persistent clear skies, subsiding winter winds, and early summer heating typical for late March in Uttar Pradesh. Current observations indicate daytime highs already climbing toward 35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical averages of 32–36°C for this period while exceeding them slightly due to a warming trend. Trader consensus reflects this data-backed outlook, with 93.5% implied probability on 36°C. Realistic challenges include an unexpected western disturbance bringing clouds or gusty winds, or model revisions from evening updates, though ensemble forecasts show little divergence. IMD's next advisory, due later today, could refine this further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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