Traders' close split between 34°C (51.5%) and 33°C or below (44%) reflects the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast for Lucknow, projecting a daytime high near 34°C under clear skies and dry northerly winds enhancing solar heating. Recent observations show maximums stabilizing around 33-34°C after an early March heat surge, with low soil moisture and minimal cloud cover—key factors in the diurnal temperature range—favoring a slight edge to 34°C over cooler outcomes. Historical late-March averages hover at 32.5°C, but this year's El Niño-influenced warmth provides upward bias; resolution depends on official Lucknow airport measurements, with model uncertainty of ±1°C capturing the tight race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月25日のラクナウの最高気温は?
3月25日のラクナウの最高気温は?
34℃ 54%
33℃以下 41%
35°C 3.1%
36°C <1%
$100,963 Vol.
$100,963 Vol.
33℃以下
41%
34℃
54%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37℃
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃
<1%
40°C
<1%
41℃
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C以上
<1%
34℃ 54%
33℃以下 41%
35°C 3.1%
36°C <1%
$100,963 Vol.
$100,963 Vol.
33℃以下
41%
34℃
54%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37℃
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃
<1%
40°C
<1%
41℃
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' close split between 34°C (51.5%) and 33°C or below (44%) reflects the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast for Lucknow, projecting a daytime high near 34°C under clear skies and dry northerly winds enhancing solar heating. Recent observations show maximums stabilizing around 33-34°C after an early March heat surge, with low soil moisture and minimal cloud cover—key factors in the diurnal temperature range—favoring a slight edge to 34°C over cooler outcomes. Historical late-March averages hover at 32.5°C, but this year's El Niño-influenced warmth provides upward bias; resolution depends on official Lucknow airport measurements, with model uncertainty of ±1°C capturing the tight race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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