Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月25日のラクナウの最高気温は?
3月25日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃以下 100.0%
34℃ <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,200 Vol.
$68,200 Vol.
33℃以下
はい
34℃
いいえ
35°C
いいえ
36°C
いいえ
37℃
いいえ
38°C
いいえ
39℃
いいえ
40°C
いいえ
41℃
いいえ
42°C
いいえ
43°C以上
いいえ
33℃以下 100.0%
34℃ <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,200 Vol.
$68,200 Vol.
33℃以下
はい
34℃
いいえ
35°C
いいえ
36°C
いいえ
37℃
いいえ
38°C
いいえ
39℃
いいえ
40°C
いいえ
41℃
いいえ
42°C
いいえ
43°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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