Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
11°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$499,086 Vol.
$499,086 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
はい
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃以上
いいえ
11°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$499,086 Vol.
$499,086 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
はい
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 11°C as London's highest temperature on March 29, backed by official Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the reference station for citywide records—confirming this maximum amid persistent low cloud and cool northerly airflow that suppressed solar heating. Hourly data from key sites like St James's Park and Northolt aligned closely, with no exceedance reported in the evening extremes summary. Late March climatology supports this, as average daily highs typically range 10–12°C, following earlier month's warmer spikes (e.g., 19.2°C at Northolt on March 6) that subsided under shifting Atlantic patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare provisional data revisions from sensor anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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