Trader consensus heavily favors 20°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 21, driven by verified surface observations from local weather stations reporting a diurnal maximum of exactly 20°C amid mild spring conditions. March highs in the region typically range 15-20°C per historical China Meteorological Administration data, with recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models aligning precisely at this level under stable subtropical high pressure. This positioning reflects low volatility in early spring diurnal cycles. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from automated stations or a rare measurement anomaly, though such events occur in under 1% of cases based on quality control protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月21日の重慶の最高気温は?
3月21日の重慶の最高気温は?
$32,461 Vol.
$32,461 Vol.
20℃
100%
21℃以上
<1%
$32,461 Vol.
$32,461 Vol.
20℃
100%
21℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 20°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 21, driven by verified surface observations from local weather stations reporting a diurnal maximum of exactly 20°C amid mild spring conditions. March highs in the region typically range 15-20°C per historical China Meteorological Administration data, with recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models aligning precisely at this level under stable subtropical high pressure. This positioning reflects low volatility in early spring diurnal cycles. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from automated stations or a rare measurement anomaly, though such events occur in under 1% of cases based on quality control protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問