Latest National Weather Service guidance and 00Z GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a high temperature of 62-65°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29, reflecting trader consensus amid clustered probabilities for those bins. Following a potent cold front's passage on March 27—bringing thunderstorms and a sharp temperature drop—high pressure ridging builds overhead, ushering southerly winds and partly sunny skies for enhanced insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Differentiating factors include potential lingering mid-level clouds suppressing peaks at 62-63°F versus fuller clearing and stronger warm-air advection boosting to 64-65°F, against a climatological March 29 average of 48°F under neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions. Short-range uncertainty persists; monitor 12Z models and afternoon NWS updates for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 17%
58-59°F 15%
$31,157 Vol.
$31,157 Vol.
53°F以下
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 17%
58-59°F 15%
$31,157 Vol.
$31,157 Vol.
53°F以下
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and 00Z GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a high temperature of 62-65°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29, reflecting trader consensus amid clustered probabilities for those bins. Following a potent cold front's passage on March 27—bringing thunderstorms and a sharp temperature drop—high pressure ridging builds overhead, ushering southerly winds and partly sunny skies for enhanced insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Differentiating factors include potential lingering mid-level clouds suppressing peaks at 62-63°F versus fuller clearing and stronger warm-air advection boosting to 64-65°F, against a climatological March 29 average of 48°F under neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions. Short-range uncertainty persists; monitor 12Z models and afternoon NWS updates for refinements.
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