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Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

18°C 50%

19°C 23%

17°C 18%

16°C 6.3%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,775 Vol.

18°C 50%

19°C 23%

17°C 18%

16°C 6.3%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,775 Vol.

16°C

$1,176 Vol.

6%

17°C

$379 Vol.

18%

18°C

$396 Vol.

50%

19°C

$570 Vol.

22%

20°C or higher

$1,748 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 57% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast via Hong Kong Observatory projecting 14–18°C amid ongoing rain and cloud cover from a frontal system. This aligns with March 29's confirmed 18°C peak and a cooler-than-average March 2026, where basin topography traps moisture, limiting solar heating and intensification potential. Forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 17–19°C, with light precipitation reducing the odds of 20°C or higher to 3.2%; 19°C at 25% reflects slight model spread. Updated observations throughout the day and evening CMA bulletins could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window closes.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 57% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast via Hong Kong Observatory projecting 14–18°C amid ongoing rain and cloud cover from a frontal system. This aligns with March 29's confirmed 18°C peak and a cooler-than-average March 2026, where basin topography traps moisture, limiting solar heating and intensification potential. Forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 17–19°C, with light precipitation reducing the odds of 20°C or higher to 3.2%; 19°C at 25% reflects slight model spread. Updated observations throughout the day and evening CMA bulletins could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window closes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 57% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast via Hong Kong Observatory projecting 14–18°C amid ongoing rain and cloud cover from a frontal system. This aligns with March 29's confirmed 18°C peak and a cooler-than-average March 2026, where basin topography traps moisture, limiting solar heating and intensification potential. Forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 17–19°C, with light precipitation reducing the odds of 20°C or higher to 3.2%; 19°C at 25% reflects slight model spread. Updated observations throughout the day and evening CMA bulletins could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window closes.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 57% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast via Hong Kong Observatory projecting 14–18°C amid ongoing rain and cloud cover from a frontal system. This aligns with March 29's confirmed 18°C peak and a cooler-than-average March 2026, where basin topography traps moisture, limiting solar heating and intensification potential. Forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 17–19°C, with light precipitation reducing the odds of 20°C or higher to 3.2%; 19°C at 25% reflects slight model spread. Updated observations throughout the day and evening CMA bulletins could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window closes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「18°C」で50%、次いで「19°C」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?」は$26.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「18°C」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「19°C」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。