Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月6日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
4月6日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
19℃ 22%
20℃ 21%
21℃ 19%
18℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
14°C以下
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17℃
7%
18℃
13%
19℃
22%
20℃
21%
21℃
19%
22℃
12%
23℃
6%
24℃以上
6%
19℃ 22%
20℃ 21%
21℃ 19%
18℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
14°C以下
$414 Vol.
1%
15°C
$132 Vol.
5%
16°C
$92 Vol.
5%
17℃
$109 Vol.
7%
18℃
$123 Vol.
13%
19℃
$114 Vol.
22%
20℃
$71 Vol.
21%
21℃
$148 Vol.
19%
22℃
$49 Vol.
12%
23℃
$105 Vol.
6%
24℃以上
$466 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$1,821終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,821終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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