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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$31,533 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$31,533 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$16,999 Vol.

82%

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Israel

$6,325 Vol.

55%

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Greece

$0 Vol.

60%

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France

$372 Vol.

59%

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Denmark

$5,714 Vol.

59%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

54%

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Sweden

$0 Vol.

41%

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Ukraine

$0 Vol.

37%

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Romania

$169 Vol.

27%

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Italy

$0 Vol.

34%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

18%

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Cyprus

$585 Vol.

17%

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Moldova

$18 Vol.

15%

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Armenia

$134 Vol.

14%

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Germany

$0 Vol.

13%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

13%

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Norway

$407 Vol.

13%

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Croatia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

11%

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Serbia

$151 Vol.

11%

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Poland

$0 Vol.

11%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

10%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

10%

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Austria

$203 Vol.

10%

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San Marino

$0 Vol.

9%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

9%

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Belgium

$0 Vol.

9%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

9%

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Azerbaijan

$0 Vol.

8%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

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Switzerland

$0 Vol.

11%

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Malta

$0 Vol.

21%

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Lithuania

$196 Vol.

11%

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Bulgaria

$124 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections now complete for nearly all 35 entrants in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—semifinals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on Nordic frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the violin-fueled "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK jury and televote win, and Sweden's Felicia delivering pop hook "My System" from Melodifestivalen. Strong Big 5 bids from France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") add jury appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") garners sleeper buzz. Recent mid-March song releases from Armenia, Georgia, and others build preview momentum, but staging reveals and semi-final running orders could spark shifts in this volatile pre-rehearsal landscape.

With national selections now complete for nearly all 35 entrants in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—semifinals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on Nordic frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the violin-fueled "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK jury and televote win, and Sweden's Felicia delivering pop hook "My System" from Melodifestivalen. Strong Big 5 bids from France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") add jury appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") garners sleeper buzz. Recent mid-March song releases from Armenia, Georgia, and others build preview momentum, but staging reveals and semi-final running orders could spark shifts in this volatile pre-rehearsal landscape.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections now complete for nearly all 35 entrants in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—semifinals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on Nordic frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the violin-fueled "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK jury and televote win, and Sweden's Felicia delivering pop hook "My System" from Melodifestivalen. Strong Big 5 bids from France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") add jury appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") garners sleeper buzz. Recent mid-March song releases from Armenia, Georgia, and others build preview momentum, but staging reveals and semi-final running orders could spark shifts in this volatile pre-rehearsal landscape.

With national selections now complete for nearly all 35 entrants in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—semifinals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on Nordic frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the violin-fueled "Liekinheitin," fresh off a dominant UMK jury and televote win, and Sweden's Felicia delivering pop hook "My System" from Melodifestivalen. Strong Big 5 bids from France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") add jury appeal, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") garners sleeper buzz. Recent mid-March song releases from Armenia, Georgia, and others build preview momentum, but staging reveals and semi-final running orders could spark shifts in this volatile pre-rehearsal landscape.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Eurovision 2026: Top 5」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Finland」で82%、次いで「Greece」が60%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Eurovision 2026: Top 5」は$31.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 5」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 5」の現在のフロントランナーは「Finland」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Greece」で60%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 5」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。