Turkey’s political calendar centers on the scheduled May 2028 presidential and parliamentary elections, with senior ruling alliance figures stating that parliament may advance the vote to March or April to activate a constitutional provision allowing President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan a third term. Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party and its Nationalist Movement Party ally hold roughly 326–331 seats in the 600-seat legislature and require 360 votes to trigger the early election under Article 116. Recent cabinet adjustments and statements from advisers have framed the 2028 contest as Erdoğan’s final candidacy, while opposition parties face ongoing legal pressures that have reduced their parliamentary leverage. Economic conditions and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could influence the timing and outcome before voters decide the next term.
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