Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 under the 2017 presidential system, with his AKP-led alliance holding a parliamentary majority that blocks no-confidence votes or snap elections, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent local elections in March 2024 saw opposition CHP gains in major cities like Istanbul, yet failed to erode his national control or trigger early national polls. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged in the past 30 days; instead, Erdoğan has remained active in diplomacy, including Syria border operations and Ukraine mediation efforts. Absent scandals, legal challenges, or economic collapse forcing early exit, markets reflect stability until the 2028 presidential vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$275,678 Vol.
$275,678 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4%を獲得
はい
$275,678 Vol.
$275,678 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 under the 2017 presidential system, with his AKP-led alliance holding a parliamentary majority that blocks no-confidence votes or snap elections, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent local elections in March 2024 saw opposition CHP gains in major cities like Istanbul, yet failed to erode his national control or trigger early national polls. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged in the past 30 days; instead, Erdoğan has remained active in diplomacy, including Syria border operations and Ukraine mediation efforts. Absent scandals, legal challenges, or economic collapse forcing early exit, markets reflect stability until the 2028 presidential vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$275,678終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 under the 2017 presidential system, with his AKP-led alliance holding a parliamentary majority that blocks no-confidence votes or snap elections, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent local elections in March 2024 saw opposition CHP gains in major cities like Istanbul, yet failed to erode his national control or trigger early national polls. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged in the past 30 days; instead, Erdoğan has remained active in diplomacy, including Syria border operations and Ukraine mediation efforts. Absent scandals, legal challenges, or economic collapse forcing early exit, markets reflect stability until the 2028 presidential vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$275,678終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 under the 2017 presidential system, with his AKP-led alliance holding a parliamentary majority that blocks no-confidence votes or snap elections, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent local elections in March 2024 saw opposition CHP gains in major cities like Istanbul, yet failed to erode his national control or trigger early national polls. No verified health concerns or resignation signals have emerged in the past 30 days; instead, Erdoğan has remained active in diplomacy, including Syria border operations and Ukraine mediation efforts. Absent scandals, legal challenges, or economic collapse forcing early exit, markets reflect stability until the 2028 presidential vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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