President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's presidential term extends to May 2028 under Turkey's current constitution, with the next election scheduled no later than then, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his removal, resignation, or other exit by December 31, 2026. His active role in recent diplomacy, including an April address at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum urging global solutions and May comments on advancing PKK peace talks, underscores leadership continuity amid a declared "year of reform" for 2026. Unsubstantiated February health rumors—dismissed by the presidency—have not materialized into verified issues, while opposition calls for snap elections lack procedural momentum in the presidential system. Major shifts would require catalysts like a health crisis, constitutional amendment, or parliamentary trigger for early polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
はい
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's presidential term extends to May 2028 under Turkey's current constitution, with the next election scheduled no later than then, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his removal, resignation, or other exit by December 31, 2026. His active role in recent diplomacy, including an April address at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum urging global solutions and May comments on advancing PKK peace talks, underscores leadership continuity amid a declared "year of reform" for 2026. Unsubstantiated February health rumors—dismissed by the presidency—have not materialized into verified issues, while opposition calls for snap elections lack procedural momentum in the presidential system. Major shifts would require catalysts like a health crisis, constitutional amendment, or parliamentary trigger for early polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$348,914終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's presidential term extends to May 2028 under Turkey's current constitution, with the next election scheduled no later than then, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his removal, resignation, or other exit by December 31, 2026. His active role in recent diplomacy, including an April address at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum urging global solutions and May comments on advancing PKK peace talks, underscores leadership continuity amid a declared "year of reform" for 2026. Unsubstantiated February health rumors—dismissed by the presidency—have not materialized into verified issues, while opposition calls for snap elections lack procedural momentum in the presidential system. Major shifts would require catalysts like a health crisis, constitutional amendment, or parliamentary trigger for early polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$348,914終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's presidential term extends to May 2028 under Turkey's current constitution, with the next election scheduled no later than then, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his removal, resignation, or other exit by December 31, 2026. His active role in recent diplomacy, including an April address at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum urging global solutions and May comments on advancing PKK peace talks, underscores leadership continuity amid a declared "year of reform" for 2026. Unsubstantiated February health rumors—dismissed by the presidency—have not materialized into verified issues, while opposition calls for snap elections lack procedural momentum in the presidential system. Major shifts would require catalysts like a health crisis, constitutional amendment, or parliamentary trigger for early polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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