Market icon

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?

Market icon

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?

280~299 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20~39 <1%

40~59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,060,345 Vol.

280~299 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20~39 <1%

40~59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,060,345 Vol.

20未満

$215,213 Vol.

いいえ

20~39

$71,949 Vol.

いいえ

40~59

$66,842 Vol.

いいえ

60~79

$69,776 Vol.

いいえ

80~99

$126,425 Vol.

いいえ

100〜119

$298,300 Vol.

いいえ

120~139

$175,907 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$195,495 Vol.

いいえ

160~179

$320,733 Vol.

いいえ

180〜199

$395,128 Vol.

いいえ

200~219

$332,072 Vol.

いいえ

220〜239

$503,062 Vol.

いいえ

240~259

$1,671,933 Vol.

いいえ

260〜279

$2,928,623 Vol.

いいえ

280~299

$1,915,377 Vol.

はい

300~319

$1,938,947 Vol.

いいえ

320~339

$1,254,539 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$1,007,546 Vol.

いいえ

360〜379

$608,246 Vol.

いいえ

380〜399

$614,449 Vol.

いいえ

400~419

$530,732 Vol.

いいえ

420~439

$346,623 Vol.

いいえ

440~459

$330,291 Vol.

いいえ

460~479

$311,938 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$197,573 Vol.

いいえ

500~519

$217,606 Vol.

いいえ

520~539

$253,903 Vol.

いいえ

540〜559

$176,280 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$128,207 Vol.

いいえ

580〜599

$124,610 Vol.

いいえ

600〜619

$115,798 Vol.

いいえ

620〜639

$94,622 Vol.

いいえ

640〜659

$80,559 Vol.

いいえ

660~679

$84,337 Vol.

いいえ

680〜699

$87,520 Vol.

いいえ

700~719

$80,996 Vol.

いいえ

720~739

$78,247 Vol.

いいえ

740件以上

$109,940 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 30 12:00 PM ET to February 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$18,060,345
終了日
Feb 6, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 30 12:00 PM ET to February 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "280~299" at 100%, followed by "20未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?" has generated $18.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?" is "280~299" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年1月30日〜2月6日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.