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イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?

Market icon

イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?

360~379 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40〜59 <1%

Polymarket

$30,207,147 Vol.

360~379 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40〜59 <1%

Polymarket

$30,207,147 Vol.

20未満

$587,772 Vol.

いいえ

20〜39

$199,114 Vol.

いいえ

40〜59

$152,729 Vol.

いいえ

60〜79

$147,103 Vol.

いいえ

80〜99

$436,193 Vol.

いいえ

100~119

$502,104 Vol.

いいえ

120~139

$595,527 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$1,147,206 Vol.

いいえ

160〜179

$1,370,868 Vol.

いいえ

180〜199

$1,237,678 Vol.

いいえ

200~219

$1,495,526 Vol.

いいえ

220~239

$1,106,167 Vol.

いいえ

240〜259

$1,165,701 Vol.

いいえ

260~279

$2,267,416 Vol.

いいえ

280〜299

$1,919,906 Vol.

いいえ

300~319

$1,456,737 Vol.

いいえ

320〜339

$1,988,018 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$2,352,938 Vol.

いいえ

360~379

$1,995,643 Vol.

はい

380〜399

$1,827,374 Vol.

いいえ

400〜419

$1,216,502 Vol.

いいえ

420~439

$769,393 Vol.

いいえ

440〜459

$631,536 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$476,155 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$362,793 Vol.

いいえ

500〜519

$275,617 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$270,444 Vol.

いいえ

540〜559

$255,577 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$306,073 Vol.

いいえ

580〜599

$369,151 Vol.

いいえ

600〜619

$234,089 Vol.

いいえ

620〜639

$147,495 Vol.

いいえ

640〜659

$131,795 Vol.

いいえ

660~679

$178,478 Vol.

いいえ

680〜699

$116,105 Vol.

いいえ

700〜719

$139,631 Vol.

いいえ

720〜739

$114,967 Vol.

いいえ

740以上

$259,627 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 3 12:00 PM ET to February 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$30,207,147
終了日
Feb 10, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 3 12:00 PM ET to February 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "360~379" at 100%, followed by "20未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?" has generated $30.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?" is "360~379" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "イーロン・マスクは2026年2月3日から2月10日までツイートしていますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.