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2028年民主党大統領候補

Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.6%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.4%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$791,476,209 Vol.

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.6%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.4%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$791,476,209 Vol.

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ギャビン・ニューサム

$11,376,825 Vol.

25%

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アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$5,419,095 Vol.

8%

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カマラ・ハリス

$7,524,300 Vol.

5%

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ジョン・オソフ

$5,041,390 Vol.

5%

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ジョシュ・シャピロ

$5,046,734 Vol.

4%

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ピート・ブティジェッジ

$7,443,291 Vol.

4%

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マーク・ケリー

$9,609,080 Vol.

3%

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アンディ・ベシア

$5,059,086 Vol.

2%

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ジェームズ・タラリコ

$2,372,522 Vol.

2%

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ジョン・スチュワート

$8,386,666 Vol.

2%

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J.B.プリツカー

$7,932,466 Vol.

2%

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ルーベン・ガレゴ

$3,028,752 Vol.

2%

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ラーム・エマニュエル

$9,510,410 Vol.

2%

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ウェス・ムーア

$10,084,399 Vol.

2%

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ロ・カンナ

$3,545,320 Vol.

2%

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ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$7,668,468 Vol.

1%

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グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$6,294,986 Vol.

1%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$17,685,510 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ミシェル・オバマ

$18,100,604 Vol.

1%

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ゾラン・マムダニ

$30,827,071 Vol.

1%

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ジョン・フェッターマン

$14,722,222 Vol.

1%

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マーク・キューバン

$13,892,680 Vol.

1%

Market icon

フィル・マーフィー

$28,473,862 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジーナ・ライモンド

$23,901,620 Vol.

1%

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スティーブン・A・スミス

$12,058,292 Vol.

1%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$28,407,915 Vol.

1%

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アンドリュー・ヤン

$33,604,156 Vol.

1%

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レブロン・ジェームズ

$29,988,735 Vol.

1%

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ハンター・バイデン

$26,611,828 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$31,389,223 Vol.

1%

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クリス・マーフィー

$8,953,720 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$19,343,523 Vol.

1%

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バラク・オバマ

$20,752,415 Vol.

1%

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ジョージ・クルーニー

$33,628,786 Vol.

1%

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ベト・オルーク

$25,309,026 Vol.

1%

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キム・カーダシアン

$24,957,659 Vol.

1%

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チェルシー・クリントン

$41,356,593 Vol.

1%

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ロイ・クーパー

$22,769,488 Vol.

1%

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ヒラリー・クリントン

$32,308,888 Vol.

1%

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オプラ・ウィンフリー

$38,543,242 Vol.

1%

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ティム・ウォルズ

$32,485,491 Vol.

1%

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バーニー・サンダース

$32,434,535 Vol.

1%

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ジャレッド・ポリス

$16,365,598 Vol.

1%

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ジャスミン・クロケット

$17,259,740 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$791,476,209
終了日
Nov 7, 2028
マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主党大統領候補" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, followed by "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主党大統領候補" has generated $791.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主党大統領候補," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党大統領候補" is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党大統領候補" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.