Escalating Middle East tensions, including US-Iran conflict risks and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have driven a sharp WTI crude oil rally, with front-month futures surging 11% to $111.54/bbl on April 2, 2026, and the June 2026 contract (CLM26) advancing to near $98/bbl—cementing trader consensus for a >$84 settlement at 66.5% implied probability. OPEC+'s modest April output hike of 206,000 bpd offers limited relief amid supply fears, while rising US crude inventories (+5.5 million barrels for week ended March 27 per latest EIA data) temper gains but remain overshadowed by geopolitical risk premiums. China demand forecasts show modest growth, supporting elevated pricing; watch weekly EIA reports and next OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
84ドル超 67%
$77〜$84 14%
$70〜$77 7.3%
$63〜$70 4.5%
$100,888 Vol.
$100,888 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
2%
$42～$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56～$63
4%
$63〜$70
4%
$70〜$77
7%
$77〜$84
14%
84ドル超
67%
84ドル超 67%
$77〜$84 14%
$70〜$77 7.3%
$63〜$70 4.5%
$100,888 Vol.
$100,888 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
$4,302 Vol.
2%
$42～$49
$3,648 Vol.
2%
$49-$56
$4,977 Vol.
2%
$56～$63
$4,130 Vol.
4%
$63〜$70
$16,667 Vol.
4%
$70〜$77
$5,645 Vol.
7%
$77〜$84
$8,676 Vol.
14%
84ドル超
$52,843 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating Middle East tensions, including US-Iran conflict risks and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have driven a sharp WTI crude oil rally, with front-month futures surging 11% to $111.54/bbl on April 2, 2026, and the June 2026 contract (CLM26) advancing to near $98/bbl—cementing trader consensus for a >$84 settlement at 66.5% implied probability. OPEC+'s modest April output hike of 206,000 bpd offers limited relief amid supply fears, while rising US crude inventories (+5.5 million barrels for week ended March 27 per latest EIA data) temper gains but remain overshadowed by geopolitical risk premiums. China demand forecasts show modest growth, supporting elevated pricing; watch weekly EIA reports and next OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$100,888終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating Middle East tensions, including US-Iran conflict risks and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have driven a sharp WTI crude oil rally, with front-month futures surging 11% to $111.54/bbl on April 2, 2026, and the June 2026 contract (CLM26) advancing to near $98/bbl—cementing trader consensus for a >$84 settlement at 66.5% implied probability. OPEC+'s modest April output hike of 206,000 bpd offers limited relief amid supply fears, while rising US crude inventories (+5.5 million barrels for week ended March 27 per latest EIA data) temper gains but remain overshadowed by geopolitical risk premiums. China demand forecasts show modest growth, supporting elevated pricing; watch weekly EIA reports and next OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$100,888終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETEscalating Middle East tensions, including US-Iran conflict risks and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have driven a sharp WTI crude oil rally, with front-month futures surging 11% to $111.54/bbl on April 2, 2026, and the June 2026 contract (CLM26) advancing to near $98/bbl—cementing trader consensus for a >$84 settlement at 66.5% implied probability. OPEC+'s modest April output hike of 206,000 bpd offers limited relief amid supply fears, while rising US crude inventories (+5.5 million barrels for week ended March 27 per latest EIA data) temper gains but remain overshadowed by geopolitical risk premiums. China demand forecasts show modest growth, supporting elevated pricing; watch weekly EIA reports and next OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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