Alabama's open-seat gubernatorial race, with incumbent Kay Ivey term-limited, drives trader consensus heavily toward Republicans at 93.9%, reflecting the state's deep-red status—no Democratic win since 1998—and historical GOP supermajorities in the legislature alongside strong presidential margins. U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary with 63% in the latest polling, $8.3 million cash-on-hand as of late February, and endorsements from Donald Trump and state leaders, positioning him as the likely nominee against fragmented Democrats led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A February dismissal of Tuberville's residency challenge removed a minor hurdle. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$862 Vol.
94%
民主党
$1,540 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open-seat gubernatorial race, with incumbent Kay Ivey term-limited, drives trader consensus heavily toward Republicans at 93.9%, reflecting the state's deep-red status—no Democratic win since 1998—and historical GOP supermajorities in the legislature alongside strong presidential margins. U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary with 63% in the latest polling, $8.3 million cash-on-hand as of late February, and endorsements from Donald Trump and state leaders, positioning him as the likely nominee against fragmented Democrats led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A February dismissal of Tuberville's residency challenge removed a minor hurdle. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$2,402終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open-seat gubernatorial race, with incumbent Kay Ivey term-limited, drives trader consensus heavily toward Republicans at 93.9%, reflecting the state's deep-red status—no Democratic win since 1998—and historical GOP supermajorities in the legislature alongside strong presidential margins. U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary with 63% in the latest polling, $8.3 million cash-on-hand as of late February, and endorsements from Donald Trump and state leaders, positioning him as the likely nominee against fragmented Democrats led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A February dismissal of Tuberville's residency challenge removed a minor hurdle. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$2,402終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's open-seat gubernatorial race, with incumbent Kay Ivey term-limited, drives trader consensus heavily toward Republicans at 93.9%, reflecting the state's deep-red status—no Democratic win since 1998—and historical GOP supermajorities in the legislature alongside strong presidential margins. U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary with 63% in the latest polling, $8.3 million cash-on-hand as of late February, and endorsements from Donald Trump and state leaders, positioning him as the likely nominee against fragmented Democrats led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A February dismissal of Tuberville's residency challenge removed a minor hurdle. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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