President Trump's January 2026 nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair—whose term expires May 15—remains firmly on track despite bipartisan Senate opposition and recent financial disclosure scrutiny revealing Warsh's $131 million net worth. The Senate Banking Committee postponed an initial mid-April confirmation hearing to April 21 or 22, signaling procedural progress rather than derailment, with no official withdrawal signals from the White House. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% consensus on "No" reflects historical patterns where Fed Chair nominations advance amid political friction absent major scandals, bolstered by GOP endorsements and Trump's insistence. Realistic shifts could arise from hearing revelations, Epstein file mentions, or intensified holds, though Powell would likely serve as acting chair if unconfirmed by deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$131,010 Vol.
$131,010 Vol.
Sì
$131,010 Vol.
$131,010 Vol.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's January 2026 nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair—whose term expires May 15—remains firmly on track despite bipartisan Senate opposition and recent financial disclosure scrutiny revealing Warsh's $131 million net worth. The Senate Banking Committee postponed an initial mid-April confirmation hearing to April 21 or 22, signaling procedural progress rather than derailment, with no official withdrawal signals from the White House. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% consensus on "No" reflects historical patterns where Fed Chair nominations advance amid political friction absent major scandals, bolstered by GOP endorsements and Trump's insistence. Realistic shifts could arise from hearing revelations, Epstein file mentions, or intensified holds, though Powell would likely serve as acting chair if unconfirmed by deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti